Episode #1113
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The housing market could do something itâs never done beforeâpermanently reverse. For as long as home prices have been recorded, theyâve always increased over time. But, with one of the largest generations, the Baby Boomers, aging out, and household formation shrinking as birth rates decline, we could face a new problemâinsufficient demand.
This is a huge problem for Millennials and the Gen Z generation since buying a house, the primary asset that makes up the majority of many Americansâ net worth, may not be the same wise financial decision as it was before. James Rodriguez joins us on the show to break down his recent article, "The millennial homebuying predicament," and why buying a home may get easier for the younger generations, but it could come with less long-term payoff.
For years, economists speculated that a âsilver tsunamiâ would flood the housing market with inventory. What actually ensued, however, was more of a âsilver glacier,â since weâre still millions of housing units short. But once these boomer-owned homes hit the market, will prices grow, stall, or decline? What happens to home prices if the population stagnates or reverses? Does buying a home become a riskier decision? James is on to help us answer these questions and share which homes could be the safest bet for long-term demand.
0:00 Intro
2:41 The Demographic Drop-off
5:36 A Silver âGlacierâ
8:19 Home Appreciation Evaporates?
11:35 Sponsor: REsimpli!
12:19 The Immigration Lever
15:30 Can Builders Keep Pace?
20:59 Is Buying a Risky Decision?
27:31 Start Paying Attention to This