Episode Show Notes:
link
Join BiggerPockets for FREE 👇
link
Let Us Know What You Thought of the Show!
link
Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing”:
link
Sign Up for the BiggerPocket Real Estate Newsletter:
link
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders:
link
Mortgage Rates Hit 2025 Low as Recession Fears Rise:
link
Read Logan’s Article, “Do mortgage rates have room to drop lower?”:
link
Connect with Dave:
link
Mortgage rates have hit a new low for 2025, hovering around 6.75%, down from their peak of 7.25%. This is serious interest rate relief for homebuyers, real estate investors, and anyone getting a mortgage. But will mortgage rates fall even further in 2025? A new article from HousingWire’s Logan Mohtashami suggests that even more rate relief could be on the way, but not without a series of caveats.
To give our take, we’re bringing you a bonus episode where Dave breaks down Logan’s argument, gives his opinion on the hypotheses, and reveals what would have to happen for rates to drop into the low sixes, maybe even into the five percent range! With bond yields ticking down and recession fears mounting, mortgage rates seem poised to improve compared to the past couple of years.
Will we have to see economic pain before rates lower? Could rates go back up, even higher than before, if positive economic news emerges? Dave is breaking down both his own predictions and Logan’s in this bonus episode.
00:00 Intro
02:05 Why Mortgage Rates Are Falling
03:18 Will Mortgage Rates Fall Further?
05:49 What This Means for Investors
07:02 The Mortgage-Bond "Spread"
10:18 What Will Cause Lower Rates