Scott Trench: How I'm Protecting My Money From “Irrational Exuberance” | Bigger Pockets Video

Episode #1095

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Stock prices are falling, and Americans are fearful. Tariffs, trade wars, economic tension, and interest rates are putting pressure on asset prices. Commercial real estate has already crashed, but the worst may be yet to come. Home prices aren’t growing; in fact, small multifamily prices may even be declining. What should you do? We can’t provide financial advice, but Scott Trench, CEO of BiggerPockets, is revealing how he’s protecting his wealth in 2025.

A recession could be coming; we’re all aware of that. But what does this mean for real estate, stock, crypto, and gold prices? The “irrational exuberance” bubble seems to have popped after stocks hit wildly high price-to-earnings ratios, Bitcoin soared to six figures, and gold began a massive runup. Things are about to change very quickly.

Scott is putting his money where his mouth is, revealing the contrarian moves he’s making to his portfolio to keep his wealth growing during this increasingly volatile period. He’s giving his stock market prediction, interest rate prediction, and home price prediction and sharing where real estate investors should look for stellar deals as everyday Americans run away in fear.

FRED® Graphs Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. 2025. All rights reserved. All FRED® Graphs appear courtesy of Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. link

00:00 Intro
01:03 Irrational Exuberance 3.0
03:25 Scott's Predictions
05:11 Interest Rates
08:38 Speculation is Driving Asset Prices
10:07 Stock Prices Could Crash
15:05 Index Fund Investors MUST Watch
17:44 Home Prices and Rents
19:38 Huge Buying Opportunities
21:59 Commercial Will Continue Crashing
26:46 Gold and Bitcoin Speculation
28:02 What I'm Doing NOW