The Economic Cycle is BROKEN: Will Rates Stay at 7%? (Recession Risks) | Bigger Pockets Video

Episode #1068

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Will mortgage rates remain above seven percent in 2025? Are we closer to a recession than most Americans realize? Why does it feel like this economic cycle of high rates and a struggling middle class will never end? The biggest question is: What do all these factors mean for real estate, and should you still be investing? We brought on the man who literally wrote the book on "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" to give his 2025 outlook.

J Scott has flipped over 500 homes, manages and owns thousands of rental units, and has been involved in tens of millions of dollars in real estate transactions. He started investing in 2008; he’s seen the worst of recessions and the highest of pricing peaks. We brought him back on the show as our industry expert to provide his time-tested take on what could happen in 2025 and share his economic framework for forecasting what’s coming next.

J says we’re long overdue for a recession—and the red flags are popping up more frequently. While signs of a global recession loom, J explains what this means for mortgage rates and home prices and why now might still be the time to invest.

00:00 Intro
02:38 Will Mortgage Rates Drop?
06:23 Trump Triggers Inflation Fears
14:06 Will Affordability Improve?
16:48 "We're Due for a Recession!"
21:37 The Economic Cycle is Broken
26:57 Sponsor: Fundrise!
27:21 Recession Red Flags?
31:33 Keep Investing in Real Estate?