“Technical” Recession is Imminent: Is the Housing Market Safe? | Bigger Pockets Video

Episode #316

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On the Market 315 - Stagflation Risk Rising Fast as US Economy Falls Out of Balance:
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What the heck is happening with the US economy? Stocks are down, now they’re up, mortgage rates are dropping—wait, scratch that—they’re back up again, the Fed could have a new chair, and if they cut rates, interest rates could…rise? A “technical” recession is on the way, but will it have the same effects as the last one? We need some backup to explain the state of the US economy, and J Scott is here to do just that.

J wrote the book on "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" and is known as one of the most economically aware real estate investors. Today, we’re diving into it all: mortgage rates, recession chances, inflation rates, tariffs, trade wars, future home price predictions, and what J plans to do with his money.

Home prices are already unstable, but could a recession, combined with high inventory and low demand, push us over the edge? This may not be another 2008, for many reasons, but the psychological effect of a recession can be severe—especially on homebuyers and sellers. We’re giving you J’s complete overview of the economy today.

0:00 Intro
2:04 Home Prices (Probably) Won’t Crash
8:24 Still SO Undersupplied
9:56 The “Technical” Recession Coming
14:45 GDP Will Drop
18:26 Inflation Forecast
22:58 Just Buy American Goods?
28:15 New Fed Chair?
34:23 J’s Investment Plan